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Smoking may kill you in 20 years, but trading in stock futures can kill you the next day

Article published in the Economic Times  online on the 22nd of May 2018

From the days of open outcry trading under a banyan tree to high-speed trading in the iconic PJ Tower, the Indian stock market has surely come a long way. 

From being nowhere in 1990 to the world-class infrastructure for securities trading that we have today and Sebi putting up a robust regulatory mechanism, it has been an impressive journey. 
What is not impressive is the fact that the advantage of all this modern infrastructure and systems has mainly gone to four intermediaries, the regulators and exchanges themselves besides, of course, the tax department and brokers. The traders at large were poor back then and have still remained poor. Only a handful of them have become successful in this journey, that also in investing, not trading. Success percentage in trading is hardly 1 per cent. 
Why? Because, it’s not in our DNA. We learn things three ways: by birth when it comes in our DNA; in our childhood through school…
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What I Have Learnt So Far From The Stock Market

Ideas about the budget and a few suggestions to boost the economy -- As written on 4th Feb 2013

I am having a diesel car for my own use but I do not mind if you increase the price of diesel to the extent that the companies who produce diesel at least do not make a loss. But besides a rise in inflation that would influence the decision to raise diesel prices, the decision should not burden a class of society that depend on it, raising interference from your allies. Alternatively, I can suggest that you increase the excise duty on diesel cars to compensate for the one lakh crore subsidy presently being paid by the government on diesel. Although lobby of diesel car manufacturing companies would not leave any stone unturned to stop you.
 My wife is very happy that the LPG cylinder that she uses is in fact 70% cheaper than its actual cost. I don’t mind if you tax her by raising LPG prices to the extent that LPG producing companies make a reasonable profit. I am certainly in favor of making LPG available to below middle class at a cheaper rate. You have to find out a solution for this.…

Three Wheelers VS Four Wheelers (Small commercial and passenger Vehicles)

3W’s 4W’s Price 1.25 lacs – 1.50 lacs 2 lacs – 4 lacs Average 35 Km/Lit 28-20 Km/Lit Cost 20 Ps/Km 2 Rs/Km
Three Wheelers way ahead:
·3W’s have a much better access than 4W’s in India. The roads in the small towns, small cities, rural and semi rural areas very narrow but the 3W’s can roam easily without any problems.


·Three Wheelers are even better for their service. Good technology is used in the 3W’s which is so simple that the driver can service it himself. The driver can become a half engineer on the spot thus saving his time and earning some more livelihood. Whereas 4W’s have to be taken to the service centers. The drivers have to pay for their maintenance, fees and also their time. The maintenance cost in 3W’s is negligible compared to the maintenance of a 4W. Hence more losses are incurred with 4W’s.


·The Re-sale value of the 3W’s is considerably better than the 4W’s.

Index will reach 50,000 in the year 2017- Written on 4th Feb 2013

Stock market touched an all time high of 22,000 index in the year 2008. But, just after that in 2009, it collapsed to 7,500 approximately. In no time it dramatically recovered after 9 months and crossed 15,000. After the low in the stock market that was observed in 2009, today index is range bound and market is revolving between 15,000 and 18,000 since three years.
It seems the turning point of the Indian economy was in 1990. Somehow it is observed that the year 2012 has also faced similar situations but at a more developed level as there was a tremendous growth in the Indian economy from the year 1990 to 2012.
It was observed that in the past five months, index reached 20,000 and it is stabilizing at the same point. It seems to be the kissing distance from its all time high in 2008. There is no doubt that the economy has grown above 6 per cent year on year continuously from 2009.  It has made a range in the higher level of the index. 22,000 and 7,500, both were extreme points even th…

Market is very aggressive and buoyant - Written on 25th April 2012

As per my analysis & study there are four kinds of expectations in the Stock market. Those are as under.
Unexpected Un -expectation: We saw this situation in 2nd half of 2011 where negativity was at high. All bad news were at forefront. And people were expecting everything unexpected to happen in the matter of inflation, Interest rate, IIP data, Forex problems and Euro zone. Sentiment was so worse that people thought there were no tomorrow.
Expected Un- expectation: This is the scenario we are going through now. Where we know all the above problems still exist but they are known and will subside in due course. Though things have not improved and we know they are there but those things are in price as well. They do not expect any great things to happen soon.
Expected expectation: When these problems will really improve then Investors will get confidence in the market and they will start expecting positive results and positive return in the market. Their expectations in the market are …

THE FUTURE OF THE TEA INDUSTRY

Tea, as a beverage, is enjoyed by more than half of the world's population. The tea market is highly vibrant and full of challenges. The consumption of tea worldwide is growing at 3% per annum, whereas the production of tea had been static since the last decade.
From year 1997 to year 2010, tea prices were almost stagnant and the production of tea was adversely affected as the tea garden owners suffered huge loss due to poor tea prices in the market. There was a negligible increase in the price of tea in comparison to inflation. New tea estates were hardly developed and all this resulted in migration of farmers from tea cultivation to other crops.
The global tea industry is largely dominated by India - the largest producer and consumer of tea. India is followed by China, Sri Lanka, Kenya and Indonesia in the production hierarchy of countries. Tea continues to be the common man's drink throughout the country. “After water, tea is the second most consumed beverage in India, so wi…